Thursday, February 9, 2017

Israel Profits!:Trump border 'wall' to cost $21.6 billion, take 3.5 years to build: internal report

Trump border 'wall' to cost $21.6 billion, take 3.5 years to build: internal report

President Donald Trump’s “wall” along the U.S.-Mexico border would be a series of fences and walls that would cost as much as $21.6 billion, and take more than three years to construct, based on a U.S. Department of Homeland Security internal report seen by Reuters on Thursday.
The report’s estimated price-tag is much higher than a $12-billion figure cited by Trump in his campaign and estimates as high as $15 billion from Republican House Speaker Paul Ryan and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell.
The report is expected to be presented to Department of Homeland Security (DHS) Secretary John Kelly in coming days, although the administration will not necessarily take actions it recommends.
The plan lays out what it would take to seal the border in three phases of construction of fences and walls covering just over 1,250 miles (2,000 km) by the end of 2020.
With 654 miles (1,046 km) of the border already fortified, the new construction would extend almost the length of the entire border.
Many cost estimates and timelines have been floated since Trump campaigned on the promise of building a wall. The report seen by Reuters is the work of a group commissioned by Kelly as a final step before moving forward with requesting U.S. taxpayer funds from Congress and getting started on construction.
A DHS spokeswoman said the department does "not comment on or confirm the potential existence of pre-decisional, deliberative documents."
A White House spokeswoman said it would be “premature” to comment on a report that has not officially been presented to the president.

The report said the first phase would be the smallest, targeting sections covering 26 miles (42 km) near San Diego, California; El Paso, Texas; and in Texas's Rio Grande Valley.
The report assumes DHS would get funding from Congress by April or May, giving the department sufficient time to secure contractors and begin construction by September. Trump has said Congress should fund the wall upfront, but that Mexico will reimburse U.S. taxpayers. Mexico has said it will not pay.
Several U.S. congressional delegations are visiting the border this month to assess funding needs, according to several people familiar with the travel plans.
The report shows the U.S. government has begun seeking waivers to address environmental laws on building in some areas. It also shows the government has begun working with existing contractors and planning steel purchases for the project.
Trump told law enforcement officials on Wednesday, "The wall is getting designed right now."
The report accounted for the time and cost of acquiring private land, one reason for its steep price increase compared to estimates from Trump and members of Congress.
Bernstein Research, an investment research group that tracks material costs, has said that uncertainties around the project could drive its cost up to as much as $25 billion.
The second phase of construction proposed in the report would cover 151 miles (242 km) of border in and around the Rio Grande Valley; Laredo, Texas; Tucson, Arizona; El Paso, Texas and Big Bend, Texas. The third phase would cover an unspecified 1,080 miles (1,728 km), essentially sealing off the entire U.S.-Mexico border.
The report lays out costs to cover the border with barriers, but funding constraints and legal battles are likely to place limits on those plans.
It also does not account for major physical barriers, like mountains, in areas where it would not be feasible to build.
A source familiar with the plans said DHS may have to go to court to seek eminent domain in order to acquire some of the private land needed to cover the final and most ambitious phase.
The first phase, estimated to cost only $360 million, could be a relatively easy way for Trump to satisfy supporters eager to see him make good on his campaign promises to limit illegal migration. But the rest of the construction will be markedly more expensive, covering a much larger stretch of land, much of it privately owned or inaccessible by road.
In addition to seeking eminent domain and environmental waivers, the U.S. government would also have to meet the requirements of the International Boundary and Water Commission, a U.S.-Mexico pact over shared waters. The report estimated that agreement alone could bring the cost from $11 million per mile to $15 million per mile in one area.
(Reporting by Julia Edwards Ainsley; Editing by Kevin Drawbaugh and Alistair Bell)


A Border Wall Isn’t a ‘Great Idea.’ Just Look at Israel

Trump points to Israel as a model for his border wall, but ignores reality

Palestinians without travel permits climb the West Bank barrier wall — REUTERS
Feb 14, 2017 at 2:08 PM ET

Building a wall on the U.S.-Mexico border was one of the pillars of Donald Trump’s presidential campaign, and he has vowed to make good on that promise despite a staggering estimated $21.6 billion price tag and other major logistical issues. But there is a much bigger flaw in Trump’s plan: Walls don’t work.
There are nearly 50 border walls and fences in existence worldwide today, and all evidence suggests that they are merely a temporary fix to the illicit movement of people and things. Border walls may be convenient backdrops for political leaders trying to prove their dedication to national security, but they tend to be ineffective at best and dangerous at worst.
Nowhere is that lesson more blatantly on display than in Israel, a country surrounded by walls and fences to which Trump has repeatedly referred as a model for the United States.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who makes his first official visit to Trump’s White House this week, took to social media last month to praise the Mexico border wall proposal and boast about Israel’s own southern border wall. Netanyahu called his southern wall a “Great success. Great idea” in a Trump-like tweet that was shared more than 54,000 times.
“Separation has made it easier for Israelis and Palestinians to demonize each other.” —Danny Tirza
The tweet spurred domestic and international backlash, including from Mexico, which expressed “profound surprise, rejection and disappointment” in a statement by the Mexican foreign ministry. Charged with damage control, Israeli President Reuven Rivlin called Mexican president Enrique Peña Nieto to say that the tweet was a “misunderstanding” and that Israel was “sorry for any hurt.”
The row revived debates about the long-term price the Jewish state has paid in walling itself away on multiple fronts—between the West Bank and East Jerusalem and with newer, more high-tech fences on the Israeli borders with Egypt and the Gaza Strip. When Israel completes its border wall with Jordan, it will be entirely enclosed.
For Israel, one could argue that border walls have brought some strategic value. The 150-mile wall along Israel’s southern border with Egypt, for example, stemmed the flow of African refugees. Between the years of 2006 and 2016, some 60,000 refugees entered through the country’s porous border and placed a burden on the country’s poorest neighborhoods. By the time the fence was completed in 2016, Israeli politicians were crediting it with a dramatic drop-off in crossings.
But any strategic gains did not ease the moral dilemma that the African migrants posed to Israel, a state created as a homeland for displaced Jewish refugees in the wake of the Holocaust. Many of the new arrivals were survivors of the Darfur genocide or Eritreans fleeing a brutal military dictatorship. Their arrival sparked soul-searching in Israel, one of the first signatories of the 1951 United Nations Refugee Convention, which formally committed itself to respecting the rights of refugees and its obligations to them.
That national debate on refugees and migrants continues to fester, with the Israeli Right arguing that after centuries of Jewish persecution, Israel is responsible for protecting itself from “infiltrators.” Meanwhile, the Israeli Left has called upon the country to honor its universal values, and the Supreme Court has repeatedly struck down parliamentary measures to indefinitely detain or deport migrants.
While Israel’s southern border may be the subject of intense debate, even less celebrated as a “great success” is the 440 mile-long wall surrounding the Palestinian Territories and East Jerusalem. Erected in the early 2000s during the mass wave of suicide bombings of the Second Intifada, the infamous wall has appeared to deter some terrorist activity, with the number of bombings attributed to the Islamist organization Hamas significantly decreased.
But the wall certainly hasn’t put an end to Palestinian terrorism, which is very much alive–young and more decentralized but no less deadly.
In the recent “knife Intifada,” hundreds of politically-unaffiliated Palestinian youths targeted soldiers and civilians on the street using knives, vehicles, and other unconventional weapons. Many were believed to have grabbed their weapons after watching viral videos that claimed incorrectly that Israelis were planning to desecrate the Temple Mount site in Jerusalem, Islam’s third holiest site. Those assailants included many young West Bankers who grew up in the shadow of the wall, which for many Palestinians “is a symbol of denial of the Palestinian right to freedom and independence,” said Xavier Abu Eid, a spokesman for the Palestinian Liberation Organization in Ramallah, the de-facto Palestinian capital in the West Bank.
But while crossing from the West Bank into Israel is more complicated than a decade ago, the wall is not yet finished, making it penetrable. Tens of thousands of Palestinians pay smugglers every day to transport them through the wall’s literal cracks so that they can work for much higher wages in Israel’s black market. Others pass those gaps to carry out terror attacks. In June, two men from the West Bank village of Yatta slipped into Israel and gunned down four people at a Tel Aviv market.

Israeli military officials have been the first to say that, despite the lofty claims of politicians like Netanyahu or Trump, a wall is not designed to fully eradicate terrorism or other similarly complex security or economic challenges. On its multiple borders, the deterrent value of Israel’s walls and fences create extra hurdles for potential terrorists, but also forces them to become more organized and better trained, said Israel Ziv, the former commander of the Israeli military division in Gaza who was in charge of designing the route.
Known as the “security fence” in Hebrew and “apartheid wall” in Arabic, Israel’s barrier with the West Bank is viewed broadly by Palestinians and Arabs across the region as evidence of Israel’s racist policies. Critics accuse it of collectively punishing all of the 3.8 million Palestinians who live in the occupied territories, and say that it foments anger among Palestinians who blame it for separating them from their families, neighbors, land, and livelihoods.
“The [West Bank] wall had a double impact. It absolutely improved the security situation, but for Palestinians to have this thing in their face on the day to day” fuels anti-Israel resentment, said Ziv.
“Ultimately a wall cannot be preventative. It’s only a silly obstacle that, just after being built, can always be bypassed,” he said.
The existing structure between the West Bank and Israel took more than three years to build, millions of tons of steel and around 11 billion shekels (roughly $2.9 billion). It costs an additional 8 percent of that amount in upkeep every year.
But the costs of protecting a country the size of New Jersey are small in comparison to Trump’s proposed wall. If built, Trump’s wall will span 1,900 miles and even by conservative estimates will cost billions.
People with the motivation to move will always find ways of doing so.
The size of Trump’s wall won’t really matter though: Migration experts have long asserted that people with the motivation to move will always find ways of doing so. And if Israel’s experience is any guide, walls certainly don’t improve relations between neighbors or help enemies move any closer to peace.
Talk of a possible upcoming war with Hamas was revived again since a renewal of rocket fire earlier this month. And Hamas’ announcement on Monday that it has appointed Yehiya Sinwar—described even by Hamas members as extremist—as its new leader does not bode well. Recent polls show that the majority of Palestinians supported the wave of stabbings that last year killed 47 Israelis. For their part, Israelis, too, have radicalized, with nearly half saying they believe all Arabs should be expelled from Israel.
“Today we see that separation has made it easier for Israelis and Palestinians to demonize each other,” said Danny Tirza, who headed the military body in charge of planning the wall’s route. While border walls may have accomplished Israel’s immediate security goals, he said, those goals are limited as long as political progress stagnates.
“We are always rushing to finish the job, and stay one step ahead, but we also know that we are leaving destruction behind us,” he said.

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